Gloogal: Xaaladda Beeraha Adduunka ee Oktoobar 2026 – Waxyar oo Caafimaad leh, Laakiin Xaaladda Maize-ka waa Mid La Isku Dayaa
Warbixinta ugu dambeysa ee barnaamijka GEOGLAM ee Oktoobar 2026 waxay sheegaysaa in xaaladda beeraha adduunka ay ku jirto mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xoolaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. El Niño wuxuu ku jiraa heerka ugu sarreeya ee 1950-kii ka dambeeyay, taasoo ka dhigan inay tahay mid aad u sarreeya.
Xaaladda Xiddigaha Cunto ee Adduunka
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee adduunka ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Xaaladda Xiddigaha Cunto ee Xiddigaha
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Xaaladda Xiddigaha Cunto ee Xiddigaha
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa. Xaaladda xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha ayaa ah mid caafimaad leh, gaar ahaan xiddigaha cunto ee xiddigaha, laakiin xaaladda maize-ka ayaa ah mid la isku dayaa.
Global crop conditions at the end of August 2026 are generally positive for wheat, rice, and soybeans, though maize faces mixed prospects across several key growing regions. A strong El Niño event is expected to persist through early 2027, raising concerns for late-season agriculture in tropical and subtropical zones.
Wheat Harvest Progresses Across Hemispheres
Wheat conditions are generally favourable, with a wide range of outcomes from exceptional to poor across the Northern Hemisphere. In North America, spring wheat harvesting is progressing with above-average yields in the US and Canada, while winter wheat harvests are wrapping up in the UK with poor yields due to a hot and dry spring. In Türkiye and Ukraine, winter wheat harvests are concluding with exceptional yields, and in the Russian Federation, above-average yields are expected in the south.
In the Southern Hemisphere, wheat conditions are mostly favourable. South Africa reports favourable conditions over the interior following widespread above-normal rain, though dry weather in the Western Cape has negatively affected the crop. In Lesotho, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, winter wheat is under favourable conditions, with a bumper crop expected in Zambia and Zimbabwe due to good antecedent soil moisture and adequate reservoir levels. In Australia, conditions are exceptional in South Australia and Victoria, but dryness has reduced prospects in Queensland.
Rice and Soybean Outlooks Remain Stable
Rice conditions are generally favourable, but dryness remains a concern in parts of South and Southeast Asia. In South America, soybean conditions are mostly favourable, with Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay reporting favourable conditions despite excessive rainfall in some areas. Brazil has seen a decrease in total sowed area compared to last year, while Uruguay benefits from good crop development and ample precipitation.
In Europe, soybean conditions are mostly favourable, though some areas face challenges. In the US, soybean conditions are mostly favourable except in parts of the country. The overall outlook for these crops remains stable, with no major disruptions expected in the near term.
El Niño Threatens Late-Season Crops
El Niño conditions are present with a ~90% chance from September 2026 to January 2027, ranking as one of the strongest since 1950. The event is forecast to persist through May 2027 with an 82% chance, according to the August 2026 NOAA ENSO outlook. This strong signal could significantly impact agriculture in tropical and subtropical regions during the critical growing season.
Abnormally hot temperatures are forecast in active crop development areas of the central and southeastern United States, Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean, southern Europe, West Africa, the Sahel region, and East Africa. In Asia, hot conditions are expected in southern and northern India, Pakistan, Central Asia, northeastern China, southern Vietnam, and the southern Philippines. These temperature anomalies could stress crops and reduce yields in vulnerable regions.
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