Baaqarada AI-ka: Xogta shaqo la'aanta waxay muujisaa in dhibaatada ay ku jirto mid aan la filayn
Warbixin cusub oo ka soo baxday jaamacadda Munich ee CESifo waxay sheegaysaa in aan jirin wax caddeyn ah oo muujinaya in AI-ku uu saameyn weyn ku yeeshay shaqo-bixinta dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay, halka warbixino kale ay ka digeen in dhibaatadu ay imaan karto.
Warbixinta CESifo: Dhibaatada AI-ka ma jirto
Warbixin cusub oo ka soo baxday jaamacadda Munich ee CESifo waxay sheegaysaa in aan jirin wax caddeyn ah oo muujinaya in AI-ku uu saameyn weyn ku yeeshay shaqo-bixinta dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay. Waxay sheegtay in 'ma jiro wax caddeyn ah oo muujinaya in AI-ku uu saameyn weyn ku yeeshay shaqo-bixinta dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay.'
Aqoonyahannada Robert Fairlie iyo Jane Wu waxay diiradda saareen dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay sababtoo ah 'beddelka baahida shaqada wuxuu ku bilowdaa yareynta shaqo-bixinta.' Waxay sheegeen in AI-ku uu noqon karo mid awood u leh inuu fuliyo shaqooyinka fudud ee shaqaalaha cusub.
Dhibaatada AI-ka: Warbixino kale oo ka digaya
Warbixin kale oo ka soo baxday jaamacadda Stanford waxay sheegtay in shaqooyinka 'AI-ka saameeyay' ay ka hooseeyaan kuwa kale. Waxaa sidoo kale ka digay Larry Fink, hoggaamiyaha BlackRock, in 'dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay sanadkan ay ku noqon karaan kuwa ugu badan ee shaqo la'aanta ah.'
Marc Andreessen, maareeyaha lacag-bixinta, wuxuu sheegay in 'AI-ku ilaa bishii December 2025 ma awoodo inuu fuliyo shaqooyinka la reebayo.' Waxaa sidoo kale jira in tiro badan oo shirkadoodu ay ku bedelayaan shaqooyinka AI-ka.
Xogta Census-ka: AI-ka wuxuu ku bedelayaa shaqooyinka
Xogta Census-ka ee Mareykanka waxay muujisay in tiro badan oo shirkadoodu ay ku bedelayaan shaqooyinka AI-ka. Waxaa sidoo kale jira in lacagta AI-ka iyo isticmaalka ChatGPT-ka uu kor u kacay muddo 12 bilood ah.
Aqoonyahannada CESifo waxay baaritaan ku sameeyeen xogta Census-ka ee shaqo-bixinta dhalinyarada jaamacadaha ka soo baxay, iyagoo diiradda saaray xilliyada sanadka iyo kuwa maalinlaha ah.
Despite growing alarms from Wall Street and Silicon Valley leaders about AI-driven job losses among fresh graduates, a new working paper from Munich's CESifo finds no significant displacement in hiring of recent college graduates so far.
The Contradictory Signals
A new working paper from economics researchers at Munich's CESifo finds that there is no evidence of any significant, widespread displacement or reduction in hiring of recent college graduates in absolute or relative levels. The researchers focused on recent graduates because changes in labor demand may first appear through reductions in hiring.
There has been a recent sharp increase in the number of firms replacing a large number of employee tasks with AI in a Census survey, as well as broad increases in AI spending per employee and ChatGPT Enterprise token use in the last 12 months.
Warnings from Industry Leaders
Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen said earlier this year that AI literally until December 2025 was not actually good enough to do any of the jobs that they're actually cutting. And BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said in March that the speed at which AI is changing led him to worry that when this year's college graduates enter the workforce, we could see the highest unemployment rate among them in years even without a recession.
A Stanford University study found that entry-level employment in so-called AI-impacted occupations lagging well behind that in other fields, adding to the narrative that this year's graduates face unique headwinds.
Methodology and Scope
The CESifo researchers looked at detailed microdata from the US Census Current Population Survey to determine unemployment trends among recent college graduates, specifically Bachelor's degree recipients 22 to 25 years old who aren't pursuing higher degrees.
The researchers looked at year-over-year and seasonal trends going back to 2022, which is both the year employment returned to pre-pandemic levels and the year ChatGPT was released.
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Sawir: Ars Technica Xigasho
