Dagaal cusub oo ka dhacay gobolka Tigray ee Itoobiya wuxuu keenay khatar dib u soo noqoshada dagaalkii sharciga
Dagaal cusub oo ka dhacay gobolka Tigray ee koonfurta Itoobiya ayaa dhex maray ciidamada dowladda federaalka iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray, taas oo keentay in dadka reer Tigray ay ka cabsadaan dib u soo noqoshada dagaalkii sharciga ee 2020-2022.
Dagaalkii hore iyo hadda
U dhaqaaqii dagaalkii sharciga ee Itoobiya ayaa ka dhacay 2020 ilaa 2022, kaas oo sababay in boqolaal kun oo qof ay dhintaan, inta badan dadka ayaa isku dayay inay ka baxaan gobolka. Haddana, heshiisii nabad ee Pretoria ayaa 2022-kii dhamaadkii xiray dagaalka, laakiin weli ma xalinayn khilaafaadka siyaasadeed iyo dhulka.
Hadda, dagaal cusub oo ka dhacay gobolka Tigray ayaa dhex maray ciidamada dowladda federaalka iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray, taas oo keentay in dadka reer Tigray ay ka cabsadaan dib u soo noqoshada dagaalkii sharciga ee 2020-2022.
Dadka iyo dowladda
Dowladda gobolka Tigray ayaa sheegtay in ciidamadeedu ay ka difaacayeen dagaal ka dhacay gobolka, iyagoo sheegay in dowladda federaalku ay ku dhuumaaleysatay inay ku dhaqaaqdo dagaal cusub. Dowladda federaalku waxay sheegtay in dagaalku uu ka dhacayay ciidamada dowladda iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray.
Dowladda gobolka Tigray ayaa sheegtay in ciidamadeedu ay ka difaacayeen dagaal ka dhacay gobolka, iyagoo sheegay in dowladda federaalku ay ku dhuumaaleysatay inay ku dhaqaaqdo dagaal cusub. Dowladda federaalku waxay sheegtay in dagaalku uu ka dhacayay ciidamada dowladda iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray.
Dagaalka iyo dowladda
Dowladda gobolka Tigray ayaa sheegtay in ciidamadeedu ay ka difaacayeen dagaal ka dhacay gobolka, iyagoo sheegay in dowladda federaalku ay ku dhuumaaleysatay inay ku dhaqaaqdo dagaal cusub. Dowladda federaalku waxay sheegtay in dagaalku uu ka dhacayay ciidamada dowladda iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray.
Dowladda gobolka Tigray ayaa sheegtay in ciidamadeedu ay ka difaacayeen dagaal ka dhacay gobolka, iyagoo sheegay in dowladda federaalku ay ku dhuumaaleysatay inay ku dhaqaaqdo dagaal cusub. Dowladda federaalku waxay sheegtay in dagaalku uu ka dhacayay ciidamada dowladda iyo kuwa gobolka Tigray.
Clashes between Tigray forces and Ethiopian federal troops in the northern region have reignited fears that the fragile peace of 2022 is collapsing, with analysts warning the war may have already begun.
Clashes Erupt as Peace Fragments
Witnesses in border towns confirmed that new fighting has taken place between Tigray forces and Ethiopian federal troops, prompting Ethiopian Airlines to suspend flights to Mekelle, Shire and Axum. The violence marks more than another episode of tension between the federal government in Addis Ababa and the region's leadership.
The conflict that devastated Ethiopia from 2020 to 2022 drew in neighboring regions and foreign troops from Eritrea, leading to a humanitarian crisis that displaced millions and left hundreds of thousands dead. A peace agreement halted the worst of the bloodshed in late 2022, but left a lot of the political and territorial disputes unresolved.
Competing Narratives Deepen the Crisis
The National Regional Government of Tigray issued a statement on September 23 saying its forces had been responding defensively to an attack by the federal government, accusing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government of launching a new 'genocidal invasion.' The Tigray government also accused Addis Ababa of carrying out air and drone strikes and artillery attacks in recent months.
The allegations that the Tigray government made could not independently be verified. The federal government has portrayed the developments as part of a broader coordinated threat involving armed groups opposed to the prime minister, illustrating one of the central problems facing any renewed peace effort: the parties do not even agree on the basic interpretation of the escalation.
A Broader Alliance Complicates Diplomacy
An alliance of seven armed groups opposing Abiy has emerged, including the TPLF, Fano forces from the state of Amhara and the Oromo Liberation Army from another regional state within Ethiopia. Some of these organizations were bitter enemies during the Tigray war, but their decision to cooperate represents a significant political development.
The Ethiopian government has accused neighboring Eritrea of supporting the alliance, while Eritrea has rejected such allegations. Kurtz says there have been reports of contacts between the armed groups and Eritrea, but stresses that the new alliance itself appears to be a domestic grouping. The key question is whether Ethiopia and its international partners can still create enough diplomatic space to prevent the latest escalation from closing the door to a political solution.
Ilaha iyo xuquuqda sawirka
Sawir: DW World Xigasho
