Daraasad: Heshiisyada xabbad-joojinta ee dhawaanahan waxay u muuqdaan kuwo aan dhab ahayn
Warbixin ka soo baxday ReliefWeb oo uu qoray Alexander Costy ayaa sheegaysa in xabbad-joojinnada Gaza, Lubnaan iyo Iran ay socdeen iyadoo dagaallo socda.
Warbixin cusub oo uu qoray Alexander Costy oo ka soo baxday ReliefWeb ayaa sheegaysa in xabbad-joojinnada dhawaanahan ee Gaza, Lubnaan iyo Iran ay la socdeen dagaallo iyo khasaarooyin, taasoo ka dhigtay inay u muuqdaan kuwo aan dhab ahayn.
Khasaarooyinka Gaza iyo Lubnaan
Warbixinta ayaa sheegaysa in tan iyo heshiiskii xabbad-joojinta ee 10 Oktoobar 2025, in ka badan 1,400 Falastiiniyiin ah iyo ugu yaraan shan askari oo Israa'iil ah ay ku dhinteen howlgallo milatari oo ka dhacay Gaza. Sidoo kale, Lubnaan waxaa ku dhintay in ka badan 1,600 qof howlgallo milatari oo dhacay labadii bilood ee ka dambeeyay heshiiskii xabbad-joojinta ee 16 Abriil 2026 ee lala galay Israa'iil.
Warbixintu waxay intaa ku dartay in labada bilood eeasoo kale ay ku dhinteen saddex ilaaliye oo Qaramada Midoobay ah iyo 22 askari oo Israa'iil ah oo ka howlgeli jiray dhulka Lubnaan. Waxay sheegtay in howlgallada dhulka ee lagu waday xilliga xabbad-joojinta ee Gaza iyo Lubnaan ay keeneen qabsasho dhul cusub, burbur guryo iyo kaabayaal dadweyne, barakac dad ah iyo dhibaato bini'aadantinimo oo aad u xun.
Xabbad-joojinnada Iran iyo Ruushka
Warbixinta ayaa sidoo kale sheegaysa in heshiiskii xabbad-joojinta ee 7 Abriil 2026 ee u dhexeeyay Maraykanka iyo Iran, oo si aan xad lahayn loo kordhiyay 21 Abriil, uu la socday weerarro diyaaradeed iyo kuwa dayuuradaha aan duuliyaha lahayn oo soo noqnoqday. Heshiis labaad oo xabbad-joojin ah oo la isku afgartay badhtamihii Juun ayaa isna la socday xoojin milatari, oo ay ka mid ahaayeen weerarro lagu qaaday kaabayaasha, saldhigyada milatari iyo maraakiibta, ilaa uu slutay 60 maalmood ka dib.
Warbixinta waxay intaa ku dartay in 11 Oktoobar 2026, xabbad-joojin la yiraahdo "xabbad-joojinta tamarta" oo u dhexeysa Ruushka iyo Yukrayn, oo uu ku dhawaaqay madaxweynaha Maraykanka Donald Trump isagoo adeegsanaya baraha bulshada, ay u muuqatay mid si lama filaan ah u soo gaartay dhinacyada dagaalka. Waxay sheegtay in hal dhinac oo keliya uu muujiyay diyaargarowgiisa inuu taageero xabbad-joojinta ka dib markii la dhawaaqay, taasoo keentay in aanay suurtagal ahayn inay dhaqan galo.
Xabbad-joojinnada waara ee taariikhda
Warbixinta ayaa sheegaysa in xabbad-joojinta 1956 ee ka dhalatay xiisaddii Suweys ay ka hortagday isku dhac suurtagal ah oo u dhexeeya quwadaha waaweyn, waxayna socotay 11 sano ilaa uu qarxay dagaalkii Bariga Dhexe ee 1967. Sidoo kale, joojinta dagaallada ee Israa'iil iyo Lubnaan ku heshiiyeen ka dib dagaalkii 2006 ayaa socotay 17 sano ilaa ay burburtay ka dib weerarkii Xisbullah ee Israa'iil 8 Oktoobar 2023.
Warbixinta waxay intaa ku dartay in xabbad-joojin de facto ah oo Qubrus ka jirta ay socotay 52 sano, tan iyo 1974. Waxay sheegtay in mid ka mid ah xabbad-joojinnada ugu da'da weyn ee weli dhaqan gal ah la saxeexay 73 sano ka hor si loo joojiyo dagaallada Gacanka Kuuriya. Waxay intaa ku dartay in heshiisyadii 1949 ee Israa'iil la gashay deriskeeda Masar iyo Urdun ay slutay heshiisyo nabadeed oo rasmi ah.
Reports from Gaza, Lebanon, Iran and Ukraine point to truces announced with speed but undermined by continued fighting.
Ceasefire agreements in several conflicts have been followed by continued military operations and heavy casualties, according to an assessment by Alexander Costy published by ReliefWeb Updates. The pattern raises questions about whether such truces can hold when key parties remain unconvinced.
Heavy Casualties After Gaza and Lebanon Truces
Reports indicate that since the ceasefire agreement of October 10, 2025, over 1,400 Palestinians and at least five Israeli military personnel have been killed as a result of military operations in Gaza. In Lebanon, over 1,600 people died through military actions in the two months following the April 16, 2026, ceasefire with Israel, along with three UN peacekeepers and 22 Israeli military personnel operating in Lebanese territory.
In both places, ground operations during ceasefires have resulted in new seizures of territory, destruction of homes and public infrastructure, civilian displacement, and extreme humanitarian hardship.
Iran and Ukraine Truces Marred by Escalation
The April 7, 2026, ceasefire between the US and Iran, extended indefinitely on April 21st, was marked by recurrent airstrikes and drone attacks. A second ceasefire agreed in mid-June was likewise marred by military escalations, including attacks on infrastructure, military bases, and shipping, until it eventually lapsed 60 days later.
Most recently, on October 11, 2026, an “energy ceasefire” between Russia and Ukraine announced on social media by US President Donald Trump apparently caught the warring parties unawares. Because only one party signaled its readiness to support the ceasefire after its announcement, it stood no chance of taking effect.
Historical Ceasefires That Endured
The historical record shows that some ceasefires have remained stable for long periods. The 1956 ceasefire following the Suez crisis prevented a potential superpower confrontation and lasted 11 years, until the outbreak of the 1967 Middle East war. The cessation of hostilities agreed between Israel and Lebanon following the 2006 war endured for 17 years until its collapse following Hizbullah’s attack on Israel on October 8, 2023.
A de facto ceasefire in Cyprus has been in place for 52 years, since 1974, while one of the oldest ceasefires still in effect was signed 73 years ago to end hostilities on the Korean Peninsula. The 1949 armistice agreements between Israel and its neighbors Egypt and Jordan eventually made way for formal peace treaties.
Ilaha iyo xuquuqda sawirka
Sawir: ReliefWeb Updates Xigasho
