Houthis-ka iyo Sacuudi: Dagaalku wuu sii kordhayaa, Vision 2030-na waa ku dhacaysaa
Wararka ka imaanaya Sacuudi Carabiya ayaa sheegaya in weerarada Houthis-ka ee dalkaasi ay sii kordheen tan iyo July, iyadoo xaaladdu ay saameyn weyn ku yeelatay nidaamka waxbarashada iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga badda.
Dagaalku wuu sii kordhayaa, Sacuudi Carabiya-na waa ku dhacaysaa
Tan iyo July, Houthis-ka ayaa ku dhuftay Sacuudi Carabiya roobaad badan oo rakibooyin iyo drone-yo ah, taas oo keentay in ardayda dalkaasi la yiraahdo inay guri ku sugaan. Marcus Schneider, oo hoggaamiya hay'adda Friedrich Ebert Foundation, wuxuu yiri: 'Dagaalku waa ku dhex galay dagaalka gobolka, midkii Sacuudi Carabiya u baahnayd inay ka hortagto.'
Houthis-ka ayaa sidoo kale ku guuleystay inay ka badbaadiyaan dhulka Yaman iyo qaar ka mid ah badda, iyagoo xakameeya baabuurka badda ee Bab el-Mandeb. Tani waxay saameyn weyn ku yeelatay Vision 2030, mashruuca uu hoggaamiyaha Sacuudi Carabiya, Mohammed bin Salman, ku qorsheeyay in dalkaasi ka baxo dhaqaalaha maqaarka.
Saameynta dhaqaalaha iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga
Weerarada Houthis-ka ayaa saameyn weyn ku yeeshay xawaaraha ganacsiga, gaar ahaan baabuurka badda ee Bab el-Mandeb iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga ee badda. Andrew Leber, oo ka tirsan hay'adda Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wuxuu sheegay inay tahay 'dhaqdhaqaaq labo geesood ah oo ka dhacay baabuurka badda iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga.'
Sidoo kale, Houthis-ka ayaa weeraray baabuurka badda ee East-West pipeline, kaas oo ka kooban 1,200 km, laakiin wararka laga helay toddobaadkii hore ayaa sheegaya inuu dib u furmay. Tani waxay saameyn weyn ku yeelatay dhaqaalaha Sacuudi Carabiya iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga ee badda.
Dowladaha caalamka iyo xal-dib-u-eegis
Dowladaha caalamka, gaar ahaan Mareykanka iyo Yurub, waxay si weyn uga digayaan inay ku biiraan dagaalka Houthis-ka. Mareykanka wuxuu sheegay inuu Sacuudi Carabiya ka caawin doono xogta iyo xawaaraha ganacsiga, laakiin wuxuu sheegay inuu ka baxayo dagaalka tooska ah.
Yurub ayaa sidoo kale ka qayb qaaday dagaalka Houthis-ka, gaar ahaan Italy iyo Faransiis, iyagoo diyaar u ah inay ka caawiyaan dagaalka. Laakiin, xal-dib-u-eegis ayaa muhiim u ah, gaar ahaan in Houthis-ka la isku dayo in la xaliyo si diplomaasiyadeed.
Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia have intensified since July, disrupting energy infrastructure and endangering the kingdom's economic future. The conflict now threatens Vision 2030, the ambitious plan to diversify Saudi Arabia's economy away from oil dependence.
Escalating Attacks and Regional Impact
Saudi students were ordered to attend classes online due to Houthi threats, but were allowed to return to school the next day. The Houthis have ramped up attacks since July, firing missiles and drones across the border into Saudi Arabia.
The militia has also pushed further into Yemen, taking control of the coast and several Red Sea islands. This allows them to oversee maritime traffic in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden.
Energy Infrastructure Under Siege
The East-West pipeline, which runs over 1,200 kilometers, was disrupted by Houthi attacks but reports suggest it is being used again. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is also coming under pressure due to the ongoing conflict.
These attacks endanger Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia's project to move away from oil revenue dependence. The escalation is drawing the Saudis deeper into a regional war they wanted to prevent.
Limited International Support
The US is unlikely to send direct military help, though it will support with intelligence and reconnaissance. The US military faces challenges, including shortages of some sophisticated interceptors.
Europe has been protecting international shipping through Operation Aspides since early 2024. France said it would send soldiers and air defense to protect the Red Sea port of Yanbu, but experts doubt this will bring about a strategic shift.
Ilaha iyo xuquuqda sawirka
Sawir: DW World Xigasho
